Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000039 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039 0.000044 0.000050 0.000058 0.000066
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000059 0.000070
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000028 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000076
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082
2026-01-18 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050 0.000066 0.000090
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000061 0.000083 0.000116
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000059 0.000081 0.000116
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000080 0.000117
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000041 0.000058 0.000082 0.000122
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000040 0.000058 0.000084 0.000129
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000019 0.000027 0.000039 0.000056 0.000084 0.000130
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000037 0.000055 0.000083 0.000132
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000036 0.000054 0.000083 0.000135
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000053 0.000082 0.000136
2026-03-29 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000051 0.000081 0.000137
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021 0.000033 0.000051 0.000083 0.000143
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000053 0.000088 0.000155
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000016 0.000025 0.000039 0.000065 0.000110 0.000204
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000038 0.000063 0.000108 0.000203
2026-05-03 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000202